It’s been just about a week since I published my list of best and worst Love Island UK cast members, and within literal hours of submitting the piece to my editor, all my rankings were thrown into disarray. Much thanks can be credited to “Casa Amor,” the genius twist which sees the boys and girls cordoned off from each other as TWELVE new contestants invade the show. I won’t get into the details, but needless to say, when it comes to sussing out fuckboys, Fboy Island has NOTHING on Casa Amor.

Nevertheless, after this interlude on Love Island, I’ve been feeling quite PIED by the men, especially since I had previously ranked Tyler as my #1. Ugh. Not even a surprise concert by British popstar Mabel could lift my spirits over that embarrassment. The lesson learned is that one should never try to predict the behavior of horny twentysomethings. But like a labourer from the North trying to graft a bird, I really can’t help myself.

So, let’s talk who’s going to win Love Island UK. At the end of the season, there will be a public vote in the UK, and the most popular couple will take home £50,000.

Here are my predictions on who will win the prize, from most likely to least likely.

Be aware that this list features spoilers through episode 42. Additionally, it does not incorporate any information that overseas audiences may already have access to, given that they are two weeks ahead of us here in ‘Merica.